关键词: 生猪养殖；猪周期；生猪产能调控；农业产业；高质量发展；对策

Abstract: The hog breeding industry constitutes a vital component of China's agricultural sector and is indispensable to the nation's economic and social development. Amid ongoing economic progress，the industry has entered a phase of rapid development，steadily transitioning towards large?scale and intensive production models. Breeding technologies have been continuously refined，and the level of intelligence and modernization has significantly improved. However，the practical challenge of the“ hog cycle ”continues to constrain the sector's growth。。Focusing on the exertion of the“dual roles”of the government and the market，this paper conducts research on the cyclical fluctuations of hog prices，analyzes the causes and negative effects of the“ hog cycle ”，and puts forward targeted suggestions from multiple dimensions. These including improving the regulatory mechanism for hog production capacity，reducing the inventory of breeding sows，lowering the average market weight of hogs，promoting industrial transformation and upgrading，strengthening disease prevention and control，establishing breeding relief funds，and advancing price futures insurance. It aims to explore new paths，help the hog industry break through the“cycle dilemma”，and achieve high?quality development.

Key words: Pig farming；hog cycle；Pig production capacity regulation；Agricultural industry；High?quality development；Countermeasures